GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/3/2024, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazWLDWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CA La PazAtlante FC
75.0Attack48.4
58.3Defence78.6
50.0Form63.5
57.9Power63.9
1.02xG1.26
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