GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/8/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atlante FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atlante FCLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CA La PazAtlante FC
75.0Attack48.4
58.3Defence78.6
50.0Form63.5
57.9Power63.9
1.02xG1.26
View match centre →