CA La PazvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

CA La Paz are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.