CA La PazvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

CA La Paz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.