CA La Pazvs
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/23/2024, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40