CA Estudiantesvs
Ferro Carril Oeste
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CA Estudiantes 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
CA Estudiantes 2-2 Ferro Carril Oeste
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.6% | 29.0% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.65 | 34.6% | 36.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.8% | 34.6% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.65 · Draw 1.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
CA Estudiantes 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CA EstudiantesLWLDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ferro Carril OesteWWWLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CA EstudiantesFerro Carril Oeste
29.5Attack41.0
71.8Defence70.5
44.9Form66.7
50.5Power61.7
0.55xG0.67