CA Estudiantesvs
Deportivo Moron
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CA Estudiantes 0-0 Deportivo Moron, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
CA Estudiantes 2-0 Deportivo Moron
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.4% | 27.9% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.59 | 35.4% | 33.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.2% | 38.2% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
CA Estudiantes 0–0 Deportivo Moron
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
38.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CA EstudiantesLWWWL
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MoronWLLWW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
CA EstudiantesDeportivo Moron
30.2Attack53.1
71.9Defence66.7
46.9Form60.4
51.6Power61.2
0.64xG0.85