GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CA Estudiantes are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Colon Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA EstudiantesDDWDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Colon Santa FeWDDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CA EstudiantesColon Santa Fe
29.3Attack42.7
73.3Defence74.7
46.7Form56.0
51.5Power58.6
0.47xG0.65
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