Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 15:00
CA Estudiantes

CA Estudiantes

Home
WD
12
Full time
Ciudad de Bolívar

Ciudad de Bolívar

Away
DLW
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
GoalVio prediction
56% confidence
CA Estudiantes(56%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
CA Estudiantes
56%
Draw
26%
Ciudad de Bolívar
18%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
CA Estudiantes
73
Ciudad de Bolívar
47
Defence
CA Estudiantes
82
Ciudad de Bolívar
53
Momentum
CA Estudiantes
67
Ciudad de Bolívar
44
Danger (xG)
CA Estudiantes
1.80
Ciudad de Bolívar
1.20
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (CA Estudiantes)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Ciudad de Bolívar)
1.20
avg per match
xG against (CA Estudiantes)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Ciudad de Bolívar)
1.20
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes
WDD
Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar
DLWW

Probability breakdown

56% confidence
CA Estudiantes56%
Draw26%
Ciudad de Bolívar18%

CA Estudiantes leads with 56% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

CA Estudiantes head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros in mixed form (WD), while Ciudad de Bolívar arrive in mixed form (DLW). CA Estudiantes have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 33% for Ciudad de Bolívar over 3 games.

The model rates CA Estudiantes's attack at 73/100 against a 53/100 Ciudad de Bolívar defence, and Ciudad de Bolívar's attack at 47/100 against a 82/100 CA Estudiantes backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

CA Estudiantes have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. Ciudad de Bolívar have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between CA Estudiantes and Ciudad de Bolívar in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects CA Estudiantes to win with 56% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: CA Estudiantes 5561%, Draw 2647%, Ciudad de Bolívar 1792%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

CA Estudiantes

CA Estudiantes

W
vs Atletico Mitre
11 Jul 2026
30
D
vs Racing Cordoba
5 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Colon Santa Fe
16 May 2026
11
Ciudad de Bolívar

Ciudad de Bolívar

D
vs All Boys
18 Jul 2026
00
L
@ Los Andes
11 Jul 2026
13
W
vs Godoy Cruz
4 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Acassuso
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win CA Estudiantes vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

GoalVio's model predicts CA Estudiantes to win with 56% confidence.

What is the predicted score for CA Estudiantes vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in CA Estudiantes vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in CA Estudiantes vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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