GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CA Estudiantes are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Central Norte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CA Estudiantes hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

38.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA EstudiantesWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Central NorteWWDLD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
CA EstudiantesCentral Norte
27.8Attack21.7
72.2Defence65.2
44.4Form33.3
50.0Power42.8
0.64xG0.33
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