GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CA Estudiantes are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

45.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA EstudiantesLLLLW

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Almirante BrownWDWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CA EstudiantesAlmirante Brown
27.8Attack26.4
72.2Defence81.9
44.4Form52.8
50.0Power56.1
0.39xG0.41
View match centre →