GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 9/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA Estudiantes · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: CA Estudiantes 0-0 Acassuso, with an exact score probability of 33%.

Prediction record

Final result

CA Estudiantes 1-0 Acassuso

Original prediction

CA Estudiantes

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6256.5%49.3%-7.1 pts
Draw3.3027.7%34.2%6.5 pts
Away5.7915.8%16.4%0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.1 pts

Projected Score

CA Estudiantes 0–0 Acassuso

Exact score probability: 33%

Predicted outcome

CA Estudiantes

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

CA Estudiantes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA EstudiantesLDLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AcassusoLDLLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CA EstudiantesAcassuso
29.8Attack22.6
70.2Defence60.7
42.9Form27.4
49.4Power39.1
0.79xG0.36
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