GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/5/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA Bizertin · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: CA Bizertin 1-0 Olympique Béja, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

CA Bizertin 1-1 Olympique Béja

Original prediction

CA Bizertin

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5457.9%48.1%-9.8 pts
Draw3.2127.8%29.6%1.9 pts
Away6.2314.3%22.3%7.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.8 pts

Projected Score

CA Bizertin 1–0 Olympique Béja

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

CA Bizertin

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

CA Bizertin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA BizertinWWLLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Olympique BéjaLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CA BizertinOlympique Béja
33.3Attack16.7
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form0.0
83.3Power26.7
1.21xG0.63
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