CA Bizertinvs
ES Hammam-Sousse
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 10/23/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA Bizertin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CA Bizertin 0-0 ES Hammam-Sousse, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
CA Bizertin 3-1 ES Hammam-Sousse
Original prediction
CA Bizertin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.6% | 48.8% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.6% | 31.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 5.06 | 17.7% | 20.0% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Projected Score
CA Bizertin 0–0 ES Hammam-Sousse
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
CA Bizertin
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
CA Bizertin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80