CA Bizertinvs
AS Marsa
SCHEDULEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/23/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA Bizertin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
CA Bizertin are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AS Marsa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and cA Bizertin hold a 18.5-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Ligue 1, favouring CA Bizertin with 24.8% confidence, a 21% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA Bizertin
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
24.8%
CA Bizertin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40