Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bzenec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bzenec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Třinec are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bzenec hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Cup, while Bzenec holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bzenec
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Bzenec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20