Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Byåsen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 5-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Byåsen 3-0 Orkla
Original prediction
Byåsen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.6% | 66.0% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.80 | 13.3% | 15.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 6.87 | 13.1% | 18.7% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.5–27%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Byåsen
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Byåsen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ByåsenWWLWD
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OrklaDDWDL
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ByåsenOrkla
73.3Attack65.0
35.0Defence8.3
51.7Form33.3
53.9Power37.4
4.50xG2.37