Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Byåsen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Byåsen 1-3 Nardo
Original prediction
Byåsen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.9% | 49.2% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.5% | 22.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.6% | 28.3% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–26%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Byåsen
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Byåsen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ByåsenWWWWL
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
NardoLWWWW
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ByåsenNardo
74.2Attack74.6
39.4Defence27.0
56.1Form41.3
57.0Power47.2
3.85xG2.57