Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Byåsen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Melhus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melhus hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Melhus holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melhus
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
7.1%
Melhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80