GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB II · 7/30/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BVSC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

BVSC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Szombathelyi Haladas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Szombathelyi Haladas hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the NB II, while BVSC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BVSC

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

BVSC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BVSCDLLLW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Szombathelyi HaladasDDWDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BVSCSzombathelyi Haladas
0.0Attack41.2
83.3Defence49.0
16.7Form37.3
36.5Power45.3
1.33xG0.98
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