Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Soroksar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: BVSC 0-2 Soroksar, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
BVSC 5-2 Soroksar
Original prediction
Soroksar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.29 | 27.5% | 21.3% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 25.7% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.5% | 53.0% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Projected Score
BVSC 0–2 Soroksar
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Soroksar
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Soroksar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BVSCLDLWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SoroksarDWWWW
GF 21 · GA 6 · avg 4.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
BVSCSoroksar
19.0Attack95.8
57.1Defence70.8
19.0Form83.3
33.9Power81.0
0.59xG1.97