Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buxton 2-1 Hereford
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.7%
Model confidence
12.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuxtonLWWWD
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HerefordDWWLD
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BuxtonHereford
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
1.79xG0.99