Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Buxoro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Xorazm are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Pro League A, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50