Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Buxoro 1-0 Surkhon, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Buxoro 0-0 Surkhon
Original prediction
Buxoro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.5% | 48.5% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.2% | 28.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.3% | 23.2% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Buxoro 1–0 Surkhon
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuxoroWWLLL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SurkhonDDWLW
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BuxoroSurkhon
51.4Attack26.4
55.6Defence61.1
55.6Form38.9
56.1Power44.8
1.33xG0.62