Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Buxoro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sogdiana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Super League, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80