Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Buxoro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Qizilqum are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Super League, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60