Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pakhtakor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Buxoro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pakhtakor are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pakhtakor hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Super League, while Pakhtakor holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pakhtakor
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Pakhtakor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20