Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Buxoro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nasaf are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.4 against 56.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60