Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Buxoro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Mash'al are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDWD), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 9 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Mash'al hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Pro League A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.75/0.00