Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buxoro 3-2 Andijan
Original prediction
Buxoro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.0% | 42.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.0% | 28.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.9% | 29.4% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuxoroLLLDW
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AndijanLDWLW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BuxoroAndijan
48.5Attack40.9
56.1Defence57.6
51.5Form45.5
53.8Power48.9
1.34xG0.97