Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (12%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BuxDu 2-4 Shortan
Original prediction
Shortan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–312%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
79.0%
Model confidence
13.8%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuxDuLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ShortanWLLWW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BuxDuShortan
31.0Attack56.4
21.4Defence64.1
23.8Form74.4
28.7Power67.3
0.64xG2.70