Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metalourg · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
BuxDu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Metalourg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Metalourg hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Pro League A, while Metalourg holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metalourg
Probability
87.3%
Model confidence
14.3%
Metalourg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00