Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lochin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: BuxDu 0-2 Lochin, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
BuxDu 2-6 Lochin
Original prediction
Lochin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.13 | 17.5% | 11.7% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.4% | 19.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 61.1% | 69.1% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Projected Score
BuxDu 0–2 Lochin
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Lochin
Probability
69.1%
Model confidence
69.1%
Lochin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuxDuLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LochinLLDWW
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BuxDuLochin
26.7Attack43.3
20.0Defence61.7
16.7Form53.3
24.8Power53.7
0.60xG2.00