Busko-Zdrojvs
Wisła Kraków II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/4/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisła Kraków II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Busko-Zdroj 3-0 Wisła Kraków II
Original prediction
Wisła Kraków II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.86 | 23.6% | 27.6% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.8% | 22.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 53.5% | 49.9% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
Wisła Kraków II
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Wisła Kraków II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40