Busko-Zdrojvs
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wiślanie Jaśkowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Busko-Zdroj 2-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Original prediction
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.50 | 16.3% | 20.6% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.7% | 22.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.1% | 56.6% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Wiślanie Jaśkowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80