Busko-Zdrojvs
Hetman Zamosc
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hetman Zamosc · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Busko-Zdroj 2-4 Hetman Zamosc
Original prediction
Hetman Zamosc
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.3% | 30.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 19.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.3% | 49.4% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Hetman Zamosc
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Hetman Zamosc has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00