Busan Transportationvs
Yeoju Sejong
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan Transportation · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Busan Transportation 2-1 Yeoju Sejong
Original prediction
Busan Transportation
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.8% | 54.4% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.9% | 24.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.3% | 21.2% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Busan Transportation
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Busan Transportation has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20