GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 4/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Busan Transportation · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Busan Transportation are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Yangpyeong are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Busan Transportation hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the K3 League, while Busan Transportation holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Busan Transportation

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

14.2%

Busan Transportation has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Busan TransportationLDWWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
YangpyeongDWDDL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Busan TransportationYangpyeong
40.5Attack36.7
57.1Defence50.0
40.5Form41.1
48.0Power44.2
1.31xG0.85
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