GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 4/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Busan Transportation · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Busan Transportation are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ulsan Citizen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Busan Transportation hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the K3 League, while Busan Transportation holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Busan Transportation

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Busan Transportation has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Busan TransportationDDLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ulsan CitizenDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Busan TransportationUlsan Citizen
40.5Attack33.3
57.1Defence52.2
40.5Form37.8
48.0Power43.5
1.25xG0.77
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