GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 3/28/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Busan Transportation · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Busan Transportation are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Siheung Citizen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Siheung Citizen hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the K3 League, while Busan Transportation holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Busan Transportation

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

14.8%

Busan Transportation has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Busan TransportationDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Siheung CitizenWWWWL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Busan TransportationSiheung Citizen
40.5Attack44.0
57.1Defence56.0
40.5Form46.4
48.0Power51.2
1.13xG1.04
View match centre →