Busan I Parkvs
Jeonnam Dragons
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/18/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan I Park · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Busan I Park 2-1 Jeonnam Dragons
Original prediction
Busan I Park
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.9% | 61.1% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.7% | 21.3% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.4% | 17.6% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Busan I Park
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Busan I Park has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60