Busan I Parkvs
Gyeongnam FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan I Park · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Busan I Park 3-1 Gyeongnam FC
Original prediction
Busan I Park
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.8% | 46.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 27.5% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.9% | 26.2% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Busan I Park
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Busan I Park has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20