Busan I Parkvs
Gimhae City
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan I Park · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Busan I Park 2-0 Gimhae City
Original prediction
Busan I Park
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.4% | 72.9% | 15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.6% | 16.7% | -6.8 pts |
| Away | 4.80 | 19.0% | 10.4% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Busan I Park
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
Busan I Park has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80