Busan I Parkvs
Ansan Greeners
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan I Park · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Busan I Park 0-1 Ansan Greeners
Original prediction
Busan I Park
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.1% | 71.3% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.6% | 17.0% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 5.98 | 15.3% | 11.7% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Busan I Park
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
71.3%
Busan I Park has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00