Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rylands · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bury are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Rylands are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rylands hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Rylands holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rylands
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
13.6%
Rylands has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40