Buryvs
Lancaster City
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bury 0-1 Lancaster City
Original prediction
Bury
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Bury
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Bury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuryWLWWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lancaster CityDLLWL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BuryLancaster City
46.7Attack40.0
66.7Defence26.7
66.7Form26.7
63.4Power34.5
2.07xG0.93