Buryvs
Lancaster City
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bury are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Lancaster City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bury hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Bury holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bury
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
13.0%
Bury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20