GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bury are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Lancaster City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bury hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Bury holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bury

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

13.0%

Bury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BuryDLWW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Lancaster CityLWDWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BuryLancaster City
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power15.3
1.63xG1.06
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