Buryvs
Ilkeston Town
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bury are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ilkeston Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilkeston Town hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Bury holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bury
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
13.8%
Bury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40