Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Bury
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Bury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuryWWLWL
GF 20 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
AvroWLWWD
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BuryAvro
70.4Attack100.0
70.4Defence40.7
59.3Form81.5
63.8Power73.7
2.49xG1.44