Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bury 4-0 AFC Emley
Original prediction
Bury
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Bury
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Bury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuryWLWLW
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
AFC EmleyLDDDW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BuryAFC Emley
62.5Attack33.3
66.7Defence54.2
54.2Form41.7
59.0Power45.6
1.89xG0.72