Bury Townvs
Stourbridge
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bury Town 2-0 Stourbridge, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bury Town 2-0 Stourbridge
Original prediction
Bury Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.7% | 65.9% | 21.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.1% | 19.8% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.3% | 14.3% | -14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.2 pts
Projected Score
Bury Town 2–0 Stourbridge
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Bury Town
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Bury Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80